August 2001
- [DGN] RP awards (was: Something in the water) Ananda Dawnsinger
- [DGN] RP awards (was: Something in the water) Matt Mihaly
- Anarchy Online (was Community Feeling) Matt Mihaly
- Anarchy Online (was Community Feeling) Hanz, Rob
- Anarchy Online (was Community Feeling) Travis Casey
- Anarchy Online (was Community Feeling) Dave Rickey
- Anarchy Online (was Community Feeling) Richard A. Bartle
- Anarchy Online (was Community Feeling) Steve {Bloo} Daniels
- Anarchy Online (was Community Feeling) Koster, Raph
- Anarchy Online (was Community Feeling) Daniel.Harman@barclayscapital.com
- Anarchy Online (was Community Feeling) Daniel James
- CGMud testing Chris Gray
- TECH: STL / Heaps, Eli Stevens
- TECH: STL / Heaps, David Bennett
- TECH: STL / Heaps, Travis Nixon
- TECH: STL / Heaps, Vincent Archer
- TECH: STL / Heaps, Sean K
- TECH: STL / Heaps, Daniel.Harman@barclayscapital.com
- TECH: STL / Heaps, Sean K
- TECH: STL / Heaps, Caliban Tiresias Darklock
- TECH: STL / Heaps, Adam Martin
- TECH: STL / Heaps, Ola Fosheim Grøstad
- TECH: STL / Heaps, Ling Lo
- TECH: STL / Heaps, Paul Schwanz
- TECH: STL / Heaps, Chris Jones
- TECH: STL / Heaps, Kwon Ekstrom
- TECH: STL / Heaps, Caliban Tiresias Darklock
- TECH: STL / Heaps, shren
- TECH: STL / Heaps, Jon Lambert
- Dictionary of Body Language ling.lo@coment.dk
- Dictionary of Body Language Koster, Raph
- Where to go with the maddog page Frank Crowell
- Academic journal on computer games Jussi 'Sulka' Haro
- "The gaming situation" by Markku Eskelinen Jussi 'Sulka' Haro
- "The gaming situation" by Markku Eskelinen Ola Fosheim Grøstad
- "The gaming situation" by Markku Eskelinen Madman Across the Water
- "The gaming situation" by Markku Eskelinen Matt Mihaly
- "The gaming situation" by Markku Eskelinen Travis Casey
- Non-Linear Item Combination Systems... Justin Rogers
- Rats in a cage? J C Lawrence
- Rats in a cage? J C Lawrence
- ECTS 2001 & GDC Europe Adam Martin
- ECTS 2001 & GDC Europe J C Lawrence
- Java tidbits (was: TECH: STL / Heaps, etc.) Ling Lo
- Java tidbits (was: TECH: STL / Heaps, etc.) Bobby Martin
- Java tidbits (was: TECH: STL / Heaps, etc.) Alistair Milne
- Player Types (Was Anarchy Online) Ola Fosheim Grøstad
- Korean marketing effort... Ola Fosheim Grøstad
- TECH: programming languages (was: TECH: STL / Heaps, etc.) Bruce Mitchener
- TECH: programming languages (was: TECH: STL / Heaps, etc.) Federico Di Gregorio
- TECH: programming languages (was: TECH: STL / Heaps, etc.) Bruce Mitchener
- TECH: programming languages (was: TECH: STL / Heaps, etc.) Ola Fosheim Grøstad
- TECH: programming languages (was: TECH: STL / Heaps, etc.) Luke Carruthers
- TECH: programming languages (was: TECH: STL / Heaps, etc.) Bruce Mitchener
- TECH: programming languages (was: TECH: STL / Heaps, etc.) Robin Lee Powell
- TECH: programming languages (was: TECH: STL / Heaps, etc.) Ola Fosheim Grøstad
- TECH: programming languages (was: TECH: STL / Heaps, etc.) Robin Lee Powell
- TECH: programming languages (was: TECH: STL / Heaps, etc.) Bruce Mitchener
- TECH: programming languages (was: TECH: STL / Heaps, etc.) Robin Lee Powell
- TECH: programming languages (was: TECH: STL / Heaps, etc.) Bruce Mitchener
- TECH: programming languages (was: TECH: STL / Heaps, etc.) Ola Fosheim Grøstad
- TECH: programming languages (was: TECH: STL / Heaps, etc.) Robin Lee Powell
- TECH: programming languages (was: TECH: STL / Heaps, etc.) Ola Fosheim Grøstad
- TECH: programming languages (was: TECH: STL / Heaps, etc.) Hans-Henrik Staerfeldt
- TECH: programming languages (was: TECH: STL / Heaps, etc.) Bobby Martin
- TECH: programming languages (was: TECH: STL / Heaps, etc.) Ola Fosheim Grøstad
- TECH: programming languages (was: TECH: STL / Heaps, etc.) Miroslav Silovic
- TECH: programming languages (was: TECH: STL / Heaps, etc.) Kwon Ekstrom
- TECH: programming languages (was: TECH: STL / Heaps, etc.) Ola Fosheim Grøstad
- Skotos Articles: Why Marrach Isn't the Movies #1, #2, #3, and a Coda [LONG] Christopher Allen
- [BIZ] Job on a MMORPG Dave Kennerly
- Personality Types (was Anarchy Online (was Community Feeling)) Dave Kennerly
- Personality Types (was Anarchy Online (was Community Feeling)) Richard A. Bartle
- Personality Types (was Anarchy Online (was Community Feeling)) Ian Collyer
- Personality Types (was Anarchy Online (was Communit y Feeling)) Koster, Raph
- Personality Types (was Anarchy Online (was Community Feeling)) Ling Lo
- Personality Types (was Anarchy Online (was Community Feeling)) Hans-Henrik Staerfeldt
- Personality Types (was Anarchy Online (was Community Feeling)) Richard A. Bartle
- Personality Types (was Anarchy Online (was Community Feeling)) Marc Fielding
- Personality Types (was Anarchy Online (was Community Feeling)) John Hopson
- Personality Types (was Anarchy Online (wasCommunity Feeling)) Ola Fosheim Grøstad
- Personality Types (was Anarchy Online (was Community Feeling)) Hans-Henrik Staerfeldt
- Personality Types (was Anarchy Online (was Community Feeling)) Adam Martin
- Personality Types (was Anarchy Online (was Community Feeling)) Ola Fosheim Grøstad
- Personality Types (was Anarchy Online (was Community Feeling)) Erwin S. Andreasen
- Personality Types (was Anarchy Online (was CommunityFeeling)) Dave Kennerly
- Personality Types (was Anarchy Online (was CommunityFeeling)) Erwin S. Andreasen
- Personality Types (was Anarchy Online (was Community Feeling)) Ola Fosheim Grøstad
- TECH: programming languages (was: TECH: STL / Heaps, etc.) Brian Hook
- MudDev FAQ - part 1 Marian Griffith
- MudDev FAQ - part 1 Marian Griffith
- MudDev Faq - part 1 Marian Griffith
- Mud Dev FAQ - Part 1 Marian Griffith
- Mounts and Vehicles Greg B
- Mounts and Vehicles Justin Harvey
- Mounts and Vehicles Richard A. Bartle
- Mounts and Vehicles Ammon Lauritzen
- Mounts and Vehicles Koster, Raph
- Mounts and Vehicles susan wu
- Mounts and Vehicles Tamzen Cannoy
- Mounts and Vehicles J C Lawrence
- Mounts and Vehicles Richard A. Bartle
- Mounts and Vehicles lwl@black-knight.org (Lydia Leong)
- Mounts and Vehicles Frederick Nacino
- Personality Types (was Anarchy Online (was Community Feeling)) Trump
- Wilderness (AO) Peter Tyson
- TECH: programming languages (was: TECH: STL / Heaps, etc.) Caliban Tiresias Darklock
- TECH: programming languages (was: TECH: STL / Heaps, etc.) Brian Hook
- TECH: programming languages (was: TECH: STL / H eaps, etc.) Daniel.Harman@barclayscapital.com
- TECH: programming languages (was: TECH: STL / Heaps, etc.) Justin Rogers
- TECH: programming languages (was: TECH: STL / H eaps, etc.) Daniel.Harman@barclayscapital.com
- TECH: programming languages (was: TECH: STL / Heaps, etc.) Bruce Mitchener
- TECH: programming languages (was: TECH: STL / Heaps, etc.) Dave Kennerly
- TECH: programming languages (was: TECH: STL / Heaps, etc.) Jeremy Noetzelman
- TECH: programming languages (was: TECH: STL / Heaps, etc.) Nathan F. Yospe
- small outfit is looking for computer game designers/programmers Frank Crowell
- Personality Types (was Anarchy Online (was Community Feeling)) Marc Fielding
- Personality Types (was Anarchy Online (was Community Feeling)) Kristen L. Koster
- Personality Types (was Anarchy Online (was Community Feeling)) Kwon Ekstrom
- Pocket PC Development Daniel.Harman@barclayscapital.com
- Pocket PC Development Peter Tyson
- Pocket PC Development Frank Crowell
- Pocket PC Development Peter Tyson
- Pocket PC Development Frank Crowell
- Pocket PC Development Peter Tyson
- Pocket PC Development Paul Schwanz
- Pocket PC Development Peter Tyson
- Pocket PC Development Matt Owen
- Pocket PC Development Coyote
- Pocket PC Development Frank Crowell
- Pocket PC Development Daniel.Harman@barclayscapital.com
- Pocket PC Development Peter Tyson
- Pocket PC Development Ling Lo
- Re[4]: d20 Travis Casey
- Re[4]: d20 Travis Casey
- Re[4]: d20 Michael Tresca
- Re[4]: d20 Travis Casey
- Re[4]: d20 Michael Tresca
- [TECH] [ObjC] : programming languages - Obj-C as opposed to Java Adam Martin
- [TECH] [ObjC] : programming languages - Obj-C as opposed to Java Bruce Mitchener
- [TECH] [ObjC] : programming languages - Obj-C as opposed to Java Brian Hook
- Chances of success (was d20 system) Bobby Martin
- Chances of success (was d20 system) Travis Casey
- Chances of success (was d20 system) Daniel.Harman@barclayscapital.com
- Chances of success (was d20 system) Travis Casey
- Chances of success (was d20 system) Daniel.Harman@barclayscapital.com
- Chances of success (was d20 system) Jon Lambert
- Chances of success (was d20 system) Kwon Ekstrom
- CoolMUD lives!, sort of. Robin Lee Powell
- CoolMUD lives!, sort of. Bruce Mitchener
- CoolMUD lives!, sort of. Dan Root
- CoolMUD lives!, sort of. Robin Lee Powell
- CoolMUD lives!, sort of. Miroslav Silovic
- CoolMUD lives!, sort of. Robin Lee Powell
- CoolMUD lives!, sort of. Bruce Mitchener
- CoolMUD lives!, sort of. Miroslav Silovic
- CoolMUD lives!, sort of. Robin Lee Powell
- MBTI vs Bartle Type (was: Personality Types) Ian Collyer
- Personality Types (was Anarchy Online (was Community Feeling)) Matt Mihaly
- Re[4]: Chances of success (was d20 system) Travis Casey
- Re[6]: d20 Travis Casey
- Re[6]: d20 rayzam
- Re[6]: d20 Bobby Martin
- MUD-Dev digest, Vol 1 #404 - 16 msgs Dr. Cat
- Personality Types Corey Crawford
- Chances of success (Bobby's algorithm) Bobby Martin
This is a multi-part message in MIME format.
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I had said I was going to publish the algorithm we use in Cosm to
calculate skill successes, so here it is. I've attached a
standalone java class that does some simple testing and reporting on
the behavior of the system.
First, you "roll" a random number in the interval [0,1]. This is
essentially a d1000/1000, if you prefer to think of it that way.
Call this number 'roll'.
Then, you calculate the chance of success. The chance of success is
the ratio of your skill level to the sum of (your skill level + the
difficulty).
Here is that calculation:
chanceOfSuccess = skillLevel/(skillLevel + difficulty);
A simple comparison of the roll to the chance of success determines
whether the character succeeded at all in his endeavor (roll >
chance of success indicates failure).
If he succeeded, we now find out how well. This is the hardish
part, you can just kind of take my word for it if you like, or you
can work it out for yourself. My goal here was first to make it so
that 70% of successes were level 1, 70% of the remaining successes
were level 2, 70% of the remaining after that were level 3, etc.
So, if you compare the chanceOfSuccess to roll*(.7)^level like so:
chanceOfSuccess < roll*(.7)^level to achieve the above goal you need
to find the largest level for which the above equation is true. I
use some logarithms and come up with:
degreeOfSuccess = log(roll) - log(chanceOfSuccess)/
log(.7);
Unfortunately, once a character has achieved success, this will
distribute the success levels the same regardless of the comparison
of skillLevel to difficulty. To remedy that, I scale by the
multiplicative inverse of (1 - chanceOfSuccess). This means if you
have twice the likelihood of succeeding, you will also generally get
twice the degreeOfSuccess.
degreeOfSuccess *= (1.0/(1.0-chanceOfSuccess));
I have tested this and am pretty pleased with the results. Note
that difficulty is on the same scale as skillLevel, so skill
vs. skill tests happen the way you would want. To assign a
difficulty to a task, just pick the skill level that you want to
have a 50% chance of success; that's your difficulty. Characters
with low skills still have a small but significant chance of getting
a 30-40 degreeOfSuccess, but most of the time will fail. Characters
with high skills will mostly get 70s & above on degreeOfSuccess, but
still have a small but significant chance of failure.
Anyway, javac the attached file and play with it if you like.
Regards,
Bobby Martin
Cosm Development Team
secure email: bobbymartin@hushmail.com
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------=_NextPart_000_2015_25cb_4325-- - SMAUG Code (was Personality Types) Kwon Ekstrom
- SMAUG Code (was Personality Types) Corey Crawford
- SMAUG Code (was Personality Types) Alistair Milne
- SMAUG Code (was Personality Types) Kwon Ekstrom
- SMAUG Code (was Personality Types) Miroslav Silovic
- SMAUG Code (was Personality Types) Kwon Ekstrom
- SMAUG Code (was Personality Types) Bruce Mitchener
- Re[6]: d20 Caliban Tiresias Darklock
- Writing a MUD Server in Visual Basic? Matt Owen
- Writing a MUD Server in Visual Basic? Dan MacDonald
- Writing a MUD Server in Visual Basic? Kevin Littlejohn
- Writing a MUD Server in Visual Basic? Troy Fisher
- Writing a MUD Server in Visual Basic? Chris Gray
- Writing a MUD Server in Visual Basic? Matt Mihaly
- Writing a MUD Server in Visual Basic? Lars Duening
- Writing a MUD Server in Visual Basic? Dan MacDonald
- Writing a MUD Server in Visual Basic? Chris Gray
- Writing a MUD Server in Visual Basic? Dan MacDonald
- Writing a MUD Server in Visual Basic? Kwon Ekstrom
- Writing a MUD Server in Visual Basic? Jon Lambert
- Writing a MUD Server in Visual Basic? Sean K
- Writing a MUD Server in Visual Basic? Caliban Tiresias Darklock
- Writing a MUD Server in Visual Basic? Daniel.Harman@barclayscapital.com
- Writing a MUD Server in Visual Basic? Daniel.Harman@barclayscapital.com
- Writing a MUD Server in Visual Basic? Matt Owen
- Writing a MUD Server in Visual Basic? verb@rpn.port5.com
- Writing a MUD Server in Visual Basic? Travis Casey
- Writing a MUD Server in Visual Basic? Matt Owen
- Writing a MUD Server in Visual Basic? Troy Fisher
- Writing a MUD Server in Visual Basic? Matt Owen
- Writing a MUD Server in Visual Basic? Dan MacDonald
- Writing a MUD Server in Visual Basic? Matt Owen
- Writing a MUD Server in Visual Basic? Bruce Mitchener
- Writing a MUD Server in Visual Basic? Tess Lowe
- Writing a MUD Server in Visual Basic? Nathan F. Yospe
- TECH: .Net (was: programming languages (was: TE CH: STL / Heaps, etc.)) Daniel.Harman@barclayscapital.com
- Pocket PC Development Peter Tyson
- Mental Nudges (was Pocket PC development) Paul Schwanz
- Mental Nudges (was Pocket PC development) Frank Crowell
- Mental Nudges (was Pocket PC development) Ian Collyer
- MojoWorld, or a new product for generated content Bruce Mitchener
- MojoWorld, or a new product for generated content Hans-Henrik Staerfeldt
- MUDs as an educational tool in impoverished regions? Eric Rhea
- ColdC documentation (SMAUG Code) brandon@roguetrader.com
- MUD to include space and more Daniel Bendiksen
- MUD to include space and more Brian Hook
- MUD to include space and more Andrew Norman
- MUD to include space and more David Loeser
- MUD to include space and more Phillip Lenhardt
- MUD to include space and more shren
- [DSN] Why Permadeath is Irrelevant Paul Schwanz
- [DSN] Why Permadeath is Irrelevant Robin Lee Powell
- [DSN] Why Permadeath is Irrelevant John Buehler
- [DSN] Why Permadeath is Irrelevant Paul Schwanz
- [DSN] Why Permadeath is Irrelevant Daniel Bendiksen
- [DSN] Why Permadeath is Irrelevant John Buehler
- AOL lawsuit Matt Mihaly
- AOL lawsuit John Robert Arras
- AOL lawsuit Matt Mihaly
- AOL Lawsuit John Robert Arras
- AOL Lawsuit Matt Mihaly
- AOL lawsuit Marian Griffith
- AOL lawsuit shren
- AOL lawsuit Jon Lambert
- Release and social aspect Ola Fosheim Grøstad
- Release and social aspect Daniel Bendiksen
- Mining the SW:G Forums Eric L. Rhea
- Mining the SW:G Forums Trump
- [TECH] MySQL for mud databases Brian Hook
- [TECH] MySQL for mud databases ryan daum
- [TECH] MySQL for mud databases Jim S
- [TECH] MySQL for mud databases Brian Hook
- [TECH] MySQL for mud databases Jussi 'Sulka' Haro